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A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
by Marquis de Laplace

ISBN: 0486288757
Dover Publications Price: $12.95
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This classic introduces the concepts and uses of probability theory. It demonstrates, without the use of higher mathematics, the application of probability to games of chance, physics, reliability of witnesses, astronomy, insurance, democratic government, and many other areas. It also shows how scientists can express complex ideas in simple terms.


Table of Contents for A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
PART I. A PHILOSOPHICAL ESSAY ON PROBABILITIES
CHAPTER I. Introduction
CHAPTER II. Concerning Probability
CHAPTER III. General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities
CHAPTER IV. Concerning Hope
CHAPTER V. Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities
PART II APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES
CHAPTER VI. Games of Chance
CHAPTER VII. Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal
CHAPTER VIII. Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events
CHAPTER IX. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philsophy
CHAPTER X. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences
CHAPTER XI. Concerning the Probability of Testimonies
CHAPTER XII. Concerning the Selections and Decisions of Assemblies
CHAPTER XIII. Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals
"CHAPTER XIV. Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage, and Some Associations"
CHAPTER XV. Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend upon the Probability of Events
CHAPTER XVI. Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities
CHAPTER XVII. Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty
CHAPTER XVIII. Historical Notice of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816

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